Ethereum – A buy opportunity ahead of Bitcoin’s halving could emerge IF…
04/19/2024 13:00Ethereum's MVRV and mean coin age metrics showed that investors should be excited about recent dips - But things might not be that rosy...
- Ethereum could fall under the $3k psychological support zone soon
- Metrics flashed a strong buy signal, but there’s more that investors need to consider
Lately, Ethereum [ETH] has seen bearish sentiments strengthen behind it. In fact, a Santiment post on X (formerly Twitter) revealed that both Bitcoin [BTC] and Ethereum saw a hike in bear posting ahead of the halving.
Negative engagement on social media saw a positive change on 18 April when BTC bounced to $64.1k and ETH to $3,094. AMBCrypto analyzed other metrics to understand if investors should be buying ETH now.
Drop in gas fee could be a disguised threat
AMBCrypto noted that the Open Interest behind Ethereum has slid dramatically over the last ten days. It fell from a peak of $7 billion on 9 April (Ethereum priced at $3638) to $4.6 billion, at press time (Ethereum priced at $2997).
The sharp decline in OI meant speculators feared going long and lacked bullish conviction. It conveyed bearish sentiment. The 1-day RSI was also below neutral 50 for the most part since 18 March. This implied that momentum has favoured the sellers for a month now.
The average fees on the network have also been in decline. A recent AMBCrypto report highlighted that although it is a positive for users, it also points to a drop in demand for transactions on the blockchain.
Addressing the buying opportunity
The $3k psychological support zone would have been a fantastic buying opportunity a month ago. It still might prove to be. The 90-day MVRV ratio was below zero at press time, showing an undervalued asset and holders at a loss.
However, the mean coin age has adamantly trended higher for three weeks. Together, they signalled investors to buy Ethereum.
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And yet, the dormant circulation saw a massive spike on 18 April. This highlighted a flurry of token movements and could foreshadow a wave of selling. Moreover, Bitcoin was barely hanging on to the $61k support zone at the time of writing.
Patience and prudence could be extremely beneficial for investors. The likelihood of another sell-off is still high. The possibility of another month or two of consolidation following the halving, in light of recent overheated market conditions, is high too.