Stock market today: Dow jumps as Apple looks to jumpstart jobs day party
05/03/2024 18:55
Surprisingly upbeat Apple earnings were boosting spirits in the wait for the monthly jobs report.
The Dow led a surge in US stocks on Friday as upbeat earnings from Apple (AAPL) lifted spirits in the wait for the monthly jobs report, a crucial litmus test for interest-rate expectations.
Dow Jones Industrial Average (^DJI) futures jumped 0.8%, or 320 points, while S&P 500 (^GSPC) futures rose 0.4%. Contracts on the tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 (^NDX) were up roughly 0.7%.
All three gauges are poised to build on sharp closing gains as the market absorbs the flow of earnings before shifting focus to the marquee event, the April labor figures.
Apple's quarterly profit beat expectations, and it surprised investors with better revenue out of China than estimated in the face of reports of flagging iPhone sales.
While CEO Tim Cook talked up Apple's plans for AI development — a key focus this earnings season — it was the company's plans for a $110 billion stock buyback, the biggest in US history, that captured the market's attention. Apple shares rose 6% in pre-market trading, set to buoy the Dow.
The blue-chip index is also seeing a boost from heavyweight Amgen (AMGN), whose shares soared 14% as comments by its CEO suggested its obesity drug could take on market leaders from Novo Nordisk (NVO).
The April jobs report, due for release at 8:30 a.m. ET, could shift the mood, given the labor market is seen as setting the trajectory of inflation — the key factor shaping the Fed's interest-rate policy. Nonfarm payrolls are expected to have grown at a steady but decelerating rate last month.
Read more: What the Fed rate decision means for bank accounts, CDs, loans, and credit cards
Investors have reset their bets on the timing and prospect of a rate cut this year after Chair Jerome Powell took a more dovish tone than expected at the end of the Fed's meeting on Wednesday.
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The valuation debate on Apple
Let the valuation debate on Apple's (AAPL) stock begin after a soft quarter (I am calling it soft even as the sell-side is overlooking all sales declines and focusing only amazing Apple things) and ahead of some AI catalysts soon.
Loop Capital's Ananda Baruah with a good point on this one:
"The stock isn’t “expensive” per se… but not screaming cheap either. It’s tough to discern if valuation is friend or foe currently, given Apple is trading more in the middle of its recent trading range but with fundamentals softer. Our hunch is that near-term stock dynamics could be variable, with the second half of the year stock dynamics being more “contextual” given that there doesn’t currently seem to be as much estimate variability vs. Wall Street, and that Aplle has the potential to generate news on Gen AI and on AR/VR (i.e. VisionPro), two areas that could prove to be catalysts."