Analyst Expects Massive Bitcoin Futures Liquidations Ahead

07/07/2024 11:00
Analyst Expects Massive Bitcoin Futures Liquidations Ahead

Bitcoin's price is facing a potential decline, which could trigger massive long liquidations that investors are not prepared for.

Bitcoin’s (BTC) price has barely recovered from the debacle of momentum witnessed over the last few days. 

Nevertheless, the cryptocurrency appears to be under the threat of further drawdown due to not bearishness but bullishness of the investors.

Bitcoin Faces a Challenge

Bitcoin’s price fell from $62,000 to $53,300, shocking the crypto market and killing many bullish dreams. The futures market registered long liquidations amounting to $263 million in three days.

This is the second-highest liquidation in the last two weeks, with the previous high noted three months ago in April. Generally, such high liquidations tend to calm investors down and make them step back to let the market cool down.

Read more: How To Buy Bitcoin (BTC) and Everything You Need To Know

Bitcoin Long Liquidations.
Bitcoin Long Liquidations. Source: Coinglass

However, BTC holders do not seem to agree with this opinion. The drawdown is considered to be facing the impact of Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell’s bearish speech earlier this week. Thus, the investors expect a quick recovery and are prepared to profit from it.

Analyst Willy Woo highlighted this in his explanation of the difference between buying futures and buying spot. He denoted that the former results in a bearish environment and stated that this could cause further losses.

According to the Bitcoin Open Value Oscillator, about half a million long contracts are still open in the futures market. Should Bitcoin’s price fall further, these longs could be liquidated. This will result in an extended period of bearishness for BTC.

Bitcoin Open Value Oscillator
Bitcoin Open Value Oscillator. Source: Willy Woo

BTC Price Prediction: Validating the Pattern

Bitcoin’s price, trading at $56,961 at the time of writing, is stabilizing after nearly falling to $53,300 yesterday. The cryptocurrency has yet to fulfill the expected 17% drawdown arising from the double top formation from four months ago.

This prediction targets a drop to $50,900, which will lead to massive long liquidations, as mentioned above. Should BTC lose its support of $55,000, this would become more probable.

Read More: Bitcoin (BTC) Price Prediction 2024/2025/2030

Bitcoin Price Analysis.
Bitcoin Price Analysis. Source: TradingView

On the other hand, if Bitcoin’s price manages to bounce back from $55,000 and flip $58,800 into support again, recovery could begin. This would enable a rise to $60,000 to invalidate the bearish thesis.

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Disclaimer

In line with the Trust Project guidelines, this price analysis article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. BeInCrypto is committed to accurate, unbiased reporting, but market conditions are subject to change without notice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a professional before making any financial decisions. Please note that our Terms and ConditionsPrivacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.

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