Retail sales come in better than expected in June

07/16/2024 19:43
Retail sales come in better than expected in June

June's retail sales report comes as investors have been aggressively pricing in a Federal Reserve interest rate cut in September as economic growth cools and inflation declines.

Retail sales were flat in June, defying Wall Street's prediction of a decline amid signs of slowing in the US economy.

Economists had expected a 0.3% decline in spending, according to Bloomberg data. Meanwhile, retail sales in May were revised higher to an increase of 0.3%, from a prior reading of 0.1%, according to Census Bureau data.

June sales, excluding auto and gas, increased by 0.8%, above consensus estimates for a 0.2% increase. The control group in Tuesday's release, which excludes several volatile categories and factors into the Gross Domestic Product reading for the quarter, increased 0.9% in June, above estimates for a 0.2% increase.

The update on consumer spending comes amid a cooling but still growing US economy. The latest data, combined with better-than-expected readings on inflation, have prompted markets to widely expect the Fed's first interest rate cut by the end of its September meeting.

During an interview at the Economic Club of Washington on Monday, Federal Reserve chair Jerome Powell declined to specify when the Fed may start its easing cycle.

"I’m not going to be sending signals on any particular meeting," he said. "We are going to make these decisions meeting by meeting and the evolving data and the balance of risks."

A sale sign is displayed on a rack of clothes at a store in Chicago, Monday, June 10, 2024. On Thursday, July 11, 2024, the Labor Department issues its report on inflation at the consumer level in June. (AP Photo/Nam Y. Huh)

A sale sign is displayed on a rack of clothes at a store in Chicago, Monday, June 10, 2024. On Thursday, July 11, 2024, the Labor Department issues its report on inflation at the consumer level in June. (AP Photo/Nam Y. Huh) (ASSOCIATED PRESS)

Josh Schafer is a reporter for Yahoo Finance. Follow him on X @_joshschafer.

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