NewsBriefs - Polymarket traffic surges past DeFi platforms due to US election betting
08/03/2024 07:30Polymarket's website traffic has outpaced major DeFi platforms, driven by US presidential election betting. The platform's daily visits aver...
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Polymarket traffic surges past DeFi platforms due to US election betting
Polymarket's website traffic has outpaced major DeFi platforms, driven by US presidential election betting. The platform's daily visits average 296,515, with users spending nearly 7 minutes per visit. Cumulative bet volume reached $1.03 billion in July, up from $672.94 million in June. Betting interest has spiked due to Kamala Harris's potential Democratic nomination and an assassination attempt on Donald Trump. Trump remains the favored candidate with a 53% chance of winning, while Harris's odds for the Democratic nomination have doubled to 44%.
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Polymarket traffic surges past DeFi platforms due to US election betting
Polymarket's website traffic has outpaced major DeFi platforms, driven by US presidential election betting. The platform's daily visits average 296,515, with users spending nearly 7 minutes per visit. Cumulative bet volume reached $1.03 billion in July, up from $672.94 million in June. Betting interest has spiked due to Kamala Harris's potential Democratic nomination and an assassination attempt on Donald Trump. Trump remains the favored candidate with a 53% chance of winning, while Harris's odds for the Democratic nomination have doubled to 44%.
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VanEck CEO predicts Bitcoin to hit $350k amid quantitative easing
VanEck CEO Jan Van Eck forecasts Bitcoin reaching $350,000 as central banks start quantitative easing. He suggests Bitcoin's market cap could reach half of gold's, currently at $16.8 trillion. VanEck's research projects Bitcoin hitting $2.9 million by 2050 in a base case scenario, assuming adoption for global trade and as a reserve asset. Challenges include scalability issues, energy demands, regulatory hurdles, and competition from other cryptos. Bitcoin currently trades at $62,900, facing resistance after recent US jobs report.
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US stocks and crypto tumble on disappointing July jobs report
July's US jobs report showed slower growth and higher unemployment, causing stocks and crypto to fall. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq dropped over 2%, while Bitcoin and Ether declined 2.8% and 1.7% respectively. The unemployment rate rose to 4.3%, exceeding Federal Reserve projections. The Sahm rule recession indicator is now signaling a potential economic downturn, though its reliability in the post-pandemic environment is questioned. Market uncertainty persists due to complex labor market factors and inverted yield curves.
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Coinbase analysts predict seasonal crypto slump in August
Coinbase analysts forecast a potential crypto market downturn in August, citing historical trends of reduced activity and token value slumps. Bitcoin spot volumes dropped 19% in August 2023 compared to June, with futures volumes down 30%. Bitcoin has averaged a 2.8% decline during August over the past five years. Lower liquidity and trading volumes may lead to increased volatility. Bitfinex's Head of Derivatives expects Bitcoin to range between $61,000 and $70,000, providing an accumulation zone.
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MicroStrategy plans $2B ATM equity offering as Bitcoin holdings grow
MicroStrategy's Q2 2024 results show its Bitcoin holdings reached 226,500 BTC. The firm raised $800M through convertible notes, called $650M of 2025 notes, and announced a 10:1 stock split. A $2B ATM equity offering is planned. The Bitcoin per share ratio is 0.012, with BTC holdings up 20% since December 2023. MicroStrategy's "BTC Yield" is 12.2% year-to-date, targeting 4-8% through 2027. The company has $3.8B in debt at 1.6% average interest, with $2.2B due in 2030 or later.
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Bank of England cuts interest rate for first time in four years
The Bank of England cut interest rates by 0.25% to 5%, ending a period of high rates. This surprise move could boost Bitcoin's price, as easing monetary policy typically benefits risk-on assets. However, BTC remains range-bound below $65,000, likely due to the US Federal Reserve's steady rates. Analysts suggest a potential US rate cut in September could significantly boost Bitcoin's price and increase ETF inflows.
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FDUSD supply declines but maintains strong presence on Binance
FDUSD's total supply has dropped from $4.42 billion to $1.9 billion, coinciding with Binance's end of zero-fee trading for BTC/FDUSD pairs. Despite this, FDUSD accounts for 33.55% of Binance's June spot trading volume. The decline highlights challenges in maintaining user engagement post-incentives and the need for long-term value propositions in the crypto ecosystem. Competing stablecoins like USDe are gaining ground, emphasizing the importance of utility beyond trading pairs.
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Fed maintains 23-year high interest rate, eyes September cuts
The Federal Reserve kept its benchmark interest rate at 5.25% to 5.5%, citing continued economic expansion and moderating job gains. This decision impacts crypto markets, as lower rates historically favor risk assets like Bitcoin. The crypto market's reaction will be closely watched, especially given recent US Department of Justice actions involving $2 billion worth of Bitcoin. Macro factors, including global economic recovery and other central banks' decisions, will continue to influence both traditional and crypto markets. The relationship between inflation and crypto remains a topic of interest for investors.
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Physical attacks on crypto holders raise security concerns
Recent incidents of kidnappings and home invasions targeting crypto holders highlight the growing need for enhanced physical security in the crypto space. Cases in Thailand, Hong Kong, and the US involve violent crimes aimed at forcing victims to transfer crypto assets. Experts advise crypto holders to improve security practices, including using multi-signature wallets and limiting disclosure of holdings. The rise in physical threats emphasizes the importance of considering both digital and physical security measures for Bitcoin and crypto owners.
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Grayscale launches Bitcoin Mini Trust on NYSE Arca after SEC approval
Grayscale's Bitcoin mini trust began trading under the ticker "BTC" on NYSE Arca today. The SEC approved the product last week, aiming to offer low-cost Bitcoin exposure. This launch coincides with increased crypto attention due to potential Federal Reserve rate cuts and US dollar weakness discussions. The mini trust is a spin-off of GBTC, with shares distributed to existing GBTC shareholders.
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Starknet-based ZKX protocol shuts down, ZKX token crashes 95%
Starknet-based ZKX protocol, a social derivatives trading platform, has closed operations. Founder Eduard Jubany Tur cited minimal user engagement, decreased trading volumes, and insufficient revenue as reasons for the shutdown. The protocol delisted all markets, closed positions, and returned funds to users' trading accounts. This closure comes shortly after ZKX raised $7.6 million in funding. The protocol's native ZKX token has seen a significant price drop, reflecting broader DeFi sector challenges.
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Goldman Sachs CEO acknowledges Bitcoin's potential as store of value
Goldman Sachs CEO David Solomon stated Bitcoin could serve as a store of value like gold, despite viewing it as speculative. He praised blockchain technology's potential to digitize finance. Goldman Sachs plans three tokenization projects this year, showcasing its commitment to digital assets. The CEO's comments come amid debates on Bitcoin as a reserve asset, with figures like Michael Saylor and Senator Cynthia Lummis advocating for its role in addressing US national debt. Crypto has become a key political issue, with both major US parties showing increased support for the sector.
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Circle's private stock valued at $5.25 billion on secondary market
Circle's private stock is trading at $5-5.25 billion on the secondary market. The USDC issuer filed for an IPO in January, aiming to go public in 2024. Circle previously attempted to go public via SPAC at a $9 billion valuation. USDC holds 21% of the total stablecoin supply with a $33.6 billion market cap. The company allows limited trading of shares, likely by early investors and employees.
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SEC charges BitClout founder with fraud and securities violations
The SEC has charged BitClout founder Nader Al-Naji with a fraudulent crypto scheme involving $257 million in unregistered token sales. Al-Naji allegedly misused $7 million of investor funds for personal expenses. The SEC claims he falsely portrayed BitClout as decentralized to avoid regulatory scrutiny. Al-Naji, known as "Diamondhands," faces both SEC charges and criminal charges from the US Attorney's Office. The case highlights ongoing regulatory efforts in the crypto space.
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US government transfers $2 billion in Bitcoin seized from Silk Road
The US government moved 29,800 Bitcoin worth over $2 billion from its wallet containing seized Silk Road funds to unknown addresses. This transfer caused a 1.2% dip in Bitcoin's price, which now sits at $66,890.12. The government's wallet still holds over $12 billion in Bitcoin. This follows a recent sale of Bitcoin by German authorities that impacted the market. The reason for this latest transfer remains unclear, leaving investors uncertain about potential sales or fund reallocation.
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