Trump downplays Fed pressure: 'It's fine for a president to talk'

08/20/2024 22:15
Trump downplays Fed pressure: 'It's fine for a president to talk'

Donald Trump downplayed his prior assertion that a president should have 'a say' in setting interest rates, a comment that set off a debate about the independence of the Federal Reserve.

Donald Trump downplayed his prior assertion that a president should have "a say" in setting interest rates, a comment that set off a debate between the two presidential campaigns about the independence of the Federal Reserve.

"I think it’s fine for a president to talk," Republican presidential candidate told Bloomberg in an interview Monday. "It doesn’t mean that they have to listen."

“A president certainly can be talking about interest rates because I think I have very good instincts. That doesn’t mean I’m calling the shot, but it does mean that I should have a right to be able to talk about it like anybody else.”

The new comments come less than two weeks after Trump — in response to a question about the US central bank interest rate policy and the prospects of an economic soft landing — made it clear he wanted to have a "say" on rates if re-elected.

WASHINGTON, DC - NOVEMBER 02: U.S. President Donald Trump (R) speaks as he announces his nominee for the chairman of the Federal Reserve Jerome Powell during a press event in the Rose Garden at the White House, November 2, 2017 in Washington, DC. Current Federal Reserve chair Janet Yellen's term expires in February. (Photo by Drew Angerer/Getty Images)

Then-US President Donald Trump, right, introduces Jay Powell, left, as his nominee to be chair of the Federal Reserve in 2017. (Photo by Drew Angerer/Getty Images) (Drew Angerer via Getty Images)

"I feel the president should have at least a say in there, yeah, I feel that strongly," he said on Aug. 8 during a press conference at his Mar-a-Lago estate.

To some Fed watchers, those comments raised the prospect that the Republican nominee could seek to reduce the independence of the central bank if he wins in November.

It also elevated the Fed as a campaign issue, with some economic experts warned that political interference in monetary policy was a bad idea.

First, Vice President Kamala Harris responded by stating "the Fed is an independent entity, and as president, I would never interfere in the decisions that the Fed makes."

Then, Trump running mate JD Vance in a CNN interview said that the former president had said something "really important and actually profound" and that monetary policy "should fundamentally be a political decision."

The Biden White House has often highlighted Fed independence as a way to send a message to Wall Street that a return of Trump to the Oval Office could spook markets.

Some of Trump's defenders, including former adviser Stephen Moore, have responded by suggesting "Washington and Wall Street are hyperventilating" over the comments while suggesting price rules should instead be used to set interest rates.

A September cut

The political glare on the Fed and its chairman Jerome Powell is likely to only increase with the central bank seemingly poised to cut rates at its next meeting on Sept. 17-18 as long as inflation continues to moderate.

A handful of Fed officials in recent days have made it clear they view September as a likely pivot point when the central bank makes its first rate cut in more than four years.

Minneapolis Fed president Neel Kashkari, one of the most hawkish members of the central bank, told the Wall Street Journal Monday that he would be open to lowering rates at the September policy meeting as the job market softens and the balance of risks shifts away from inflation.

While Kashkari still sees a measured pace for cutting rates at this juncture, he said the Fed could speed up the pace if the job market weakens.

Minneapolis Federal Reserve president Neel Kashkari participates in the Yahoo Finance All Markets Summit at Union West on Thursday, Oct. 10, 2019, in New York. (Photo by Evan Agostini/Invision/AP)

Minneapolis Federal Reserve president Neel Kashkari in 2019. (Photo by Evan Agostini/Invision/AP) (Evan Agostini/Invision/AP)

San Francisco Fed president Mary Daly and Atlanta Fed president Raphael Bostic have also hinted that they could give the green light in September.

Bostic told the Financial Times that he is "open" to an interest rate cut next month, warning that the Fed can’t "afford to be late" to cut rates as the job market cools. Meanwhile Daly told the same publication that it’s time to consider adjusting borrowing costs.

And St. Louis Fed president Alberto Musalem said last week "the time may be nearing" for the central bank to cut interest rates, saying the latest inflation readings had increased his confidence inflation is returning to the Fed’s 2% target.

Markets have priced in all but certainty the Fed will cut rates next month. The question is whether it will be a quarter point or half point cut. The determining factor for that likely hinges on the next jobs report due out September 6.

Powell will have his chance to offer any updates or guidance this Friday when he speaks at the Kansas City Fed’s annual economic symposium in Jackson hole, Wyo.

A September rate cut, if it happens, could cause political criticism from Trump and other Republicans who will be sure to cast the move as caving to election year pressure.

In an interview with Bloomberg published last month, Trump again reiterated that central bank officials should not ease monetary policy before the November election.

"It's something that they know they shouldn't be doing," Trump said.

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