Stock market today: Dow jumps to record as rate-cut bets shift, with Nvidia on horizon

08/26/2024 21:24
Stock market today: Dow jumps to record as rate-cut bets shift, with Nvidia on horizon

Stocks are eyeing a bid for fresh record highs after Jerome Powell made it crystal clear the Fed is ready to pivot to lowering rates in September.

US stocks were mixed on Monday with the Dow Jones Industrial Average (^DJI) jumping to a record, adding to Friday's rally spurred by the Federal Reserve's message that interest-rate cuts are imminent, ahead of a busy week dominated by Nvidia's (NVDA) earnings report.

The S&P 500 (^GSPC) slipped slightly while the Dow Jones Industrial Average added more than 200 points, or roughly 0.5% to a new record. The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite (^IXIC) slipped 0.1% after the major indexes all gained more than 1% for the week.

Stocks edged toward fresh record highs after Chair Jerome Powell made it crystal clear the Fed is ready to pivot to lowering rates in September. The benchmark S&P 500 index is less than 1% away from topping the all-time closing high set in July.

Markets quickly moved to price in cuts totaling 1% by the end of 2024. But with only three Fed meetings left in the year — in September, November and December — and the August jobs report still to come, Wall Street is wondering when and whether a 0.5% cut is likely.

Now the focus is firmly on Nvidia earnings — the marquee event of the week — which will likely determine whether the market mood stays upbeat. If the chipmaker's results on Wednesday fail to meet sky-high expectations, that could further dent the AI trade that has powered stock gains — and, in turn, put the market's rebound from August lows to the test.

Also ahead is a Friday update on Fed policymakers' preferred inflation gauge, the PCE index print, is likely to feed into rate-path calculations. Also on decks is a reading on second quarter GDP on Thursday.

Elsewhere, oil prices jumped almost 3% amid reports of production shutdowns in Libya and fears of escalating Mideast tensions after both Israel and Hezbollah launched strikes. Global benchmark Brent crude futures (BZ=F) rose to $81.81 a barrel, while US benchmark WTI crude futures (CL=F) changed hands at $76.90 a barrel.

Live2 updates

  • S&P 500 rises, inches towards record high

    The S&P 500 (^GSPC) rose 0.3% on Monday, inching closer to its July record highs. The index was less than 0.5% away from its July 16 all-time record close of 5,667.20.

    The Dow Jones Industrial Average (^DJI) rose 0.3% on Monday. The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite (^IXIC) drifted just above the flatline after opening slightly lower.

  • Stocks open mixed as investors turn focus on Nvidia earnings this week

    Stocks traded mixed on Monday as investors turn their focus to a busy week spearheaded by Nvidia's (NVDA) earnings report.

    The S&P 500 (^GSPC) rose roughly 0.1%, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average (^DJI) added roughly 0.2%. The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite (^IXIC) slipped just below the flatline after the major indexes rallied on Friday.

    The focus this week is firmly on Nvidia earnings. A lot is riding on those results since the AI chip heavyweight has been a major driver of the markets this year. Nvidia stock was little changed on Monday morning following a 4.5% gain on Friday.

    Stocks neared fresh record highs on Friday after Fed Chair Jerome Powell made it crystal clear the central bank is ready to pivot to lowering rates in September. The benchmark S&P 500 index is less than 1% away from topping the all-time closing high set in July.

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