Bitcoin: Why THIS group’s moves point at a buying opportunity

09/02/2024 18:00
Bitcoin: Why THIS group’s moves point at a buying opportunity

The Bitcoin low Long-Term Holder SOPR trend indicates that many are selling at a loss, signaling market uncertainty.

Bitcoin: Why THIS group's moves point at a buying opportunity

  • There have been significant fluctuations in Bitcoin’s long-term holders’ profits.
  • BTC has remained at the $57,000 price level.

Long-term holders of Bitcoin [BTC] are currently in a challenging position with their holdings. However, this trend could present a significant accumulation opportunity for other investors. 

Bitcoin SOPR hit low points

AMBCrypto’s analysis of the Long-Term Holder (LTH) Spent Output Profit Ratio (SOPR) on CryptoQuant revealed that Bitcoin was priced at around $57.7K at press time. Also, the LTH SOPR showed relatively low values. 

The low LTH SOPR is significant because it indicates that these holders are not realizing substantial profits from their sales.

Instead, they might be liquidating their positions due to concerns about future price declines or in response to market uncertainty.

If this trend continues and more long-term holders decide to sell, it could contribute to further downward pressure on Bitcoin’s price.

Bitcoin SOPR

Source: CryptoQuant

The SOPR (Spent Output Profit Ratio) is key for understanding the profitability of Bitcoin sales. Specifically, the LTH SOPR focuses on coins held for an extended period, typically more than 155 days.

A SOPR value above one indicates that long-term holders are selling at a profit. In contrast, a value below one suggests selling at a loss.

The low SOPR value for long-term holders highlights that these participants are not capitalizing on significant gains and may be selling due to concerns about the market’s near-term prospects.

This could be a bearish signal, suggesting that these holders are now uncertain about its immediate price direction.

What this means for Bitcoin

The low LTH SOPR indicates that long-term Bitcoin holders are not realizing significant profits and may be reducing their positions.

If this trend persists, the LTH SOPR hovering around or below one could lead to continued downward pressure on Bitcoin’s price. This could signal a period of further declines as the market processes these sales.

However, such a scenario also presents a potential accumulation opportunity for those looking to enter the market at lower prices.

Historically, periods where the SOPR remains low have sometimes been followed by market recoveries. Investors take advantage of the reduced prices to accumulate more Bitcoin.

A recent example of this type of accumulation is observed in the actions of a whale address.

Data from Spot on Chain shows that this whale purchased 1,000 BTC, worth approximately $57 million when Bitcoin’s price hit bottom.

Also, the same whale reportedly deposited 7,790 BTC, valued at $467 million, when the price dropped by approximately 14% some months back.

The current state of BTC

AMBCrypto’s look at Bitcoin’s price trend indicated that the king coin experienced a nearly 3% decline in the last trading session.


Read Bitcoin’s [BTC] Price prediction 2024-25


The price dropped from a high of around $59,000 during the session to approximately $57,299. As of this writing, Bitcoin was trading at around $57,500, reflecting a modest increase of less than 1%.

Bitcoin price trend

Source: TradingView

The chart analysis, particularly the position of the moving averages, confirmed that Bitcoin was in a bearish trend. 

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