Bitcoin's correlation to markets deepens as Blackrock forecasts extended rate hikes

09/11/2024 06:23
Bitcoin's correlation to markets deepens as Blackrock forecasts extended rate hikes

Investors brace for more volatility as the Federal Reserve stalls on rate cuts, impacting bitcoin.

BlackRock's warning about potential volatility in the market and their forecast for a slower-than-expected path of interest rate cuts from the Federal Reserve has raised questions about Bitcoin's future performance.

Austin Arnold, co-host of Altcoin Daily, hosted a discussion with investor Brock Pierce to explore these topics, especially how interest rates and broader economic factors impact bitcoin's appeal.

Pierce agreed with BlackRock’s outlook, explaining, "We're not going to be seeing cut rates, and as long as there are high yields and high interest rates in other asset classes, Bitcoin is less appealing." He emphasized that Bitcoin’s correlation to the broader market remains strong despite initial hopes it would serve as a hedge against financial uncertainty.

"Interest rates lowering makes Bitcoin more attractive ... we have not broken free as a non-correlated asset yet."

When asked about the likelihood of a rate hike or no cuts at all, Pierce deferred to BlackRock’s CEO, stating, "I trust that [Larry Fink] probably knows better than I do." According to the CME's Fed Watch tool, investors are assigning about a 70% chance that the Fed cuts interest rates by 25-basis points next week.

While acknowledging the possibility of Bitcoin falling below $40,000, Pierce remained skeptical about the Fed's influence on Bitcoin's price, suggesting the market might not react as sharply to rate changes as some expect.

Pierce also pointed to BlackRock’s involvement in the cryptocurrency space as a positive force. "I think that BlackRock is probably having as big a positive impact on the industry as a presidential candidate," he said, adding that the institution’s endorsement lends credibility to Bitcoin.

According to Pierce, this growing support from major financial players helps diminish skepticism about bitcoin’s future.

In closing, Pierce advised the audience to be cautious and informed, stating, "I've never told anyone to make a substantial investment in bitcoin... invest in yourself, in your own knowing." He encouraged listeners to make decisions based on understanding, not external opinions, and to approach bitcoin with long-term foresight.

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