Ethereum’s (ETH) price depends on holding the critical $1,900 level to prevent a potential decline. This level will decide if ETH gains upward momentum or faces further downward pressure.

With the market’s current condition, the next moves for the altcoin will hinge on whether it can surpass this key threshold or succumb to a decline.

Ethereum Realized Price Breakdown Could Trigger a Drop

According to the Market Value to Realized Value (MVRV) pricing bands, which often signal extremes in unrealized profits or losses, Ethereum’s mean Realized Price currently stands at $1,911. This level is critical for the altcoin’s future performance, as failing to hold above it could push ETH’s price down to $1,529.

The Realized Price reflects the average value at which Ethereum was last moved. Dropping below this threshold increases the risk of investor capitulation, where holders might sell at a loss, amplifying downward pressure.

Read more: How to Invest in Ethereum ETFs?

At press time, Ethereum is trading at $2,335, marking a nearly 4% decline over the past seven days. CryptoQuant data reveals a notable drop in the amount of ETH being withdrawn from exchanges.

Typically, withdrawing crypto from exchanges signals long-term holding, and when this number is high, it can help stabilize prices. However, the current decline in withdrawals suggests a higher risk of price drops, indicating that more ETH is being distributed than accumulated.

If this trend persists, Ethereum’s price could fall below $2,000, as it did a few weeks ago.

ETH Price Prediction: Bearish Momentum Returns

Ethereum’s daily analysis indicates a return to the downtrend after a brief price increase. On September 7, ETH saw a rise from $2,223 to $2,388. However, the lack of significant trading volume helped stop the upward movement.

Technical indicators, including the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD), now signal bearish momentum. The MACD, which measures market momentum, suggests that since Ethereum’s reading is negative, a further price decline may be on the horizon.

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With bearish signals dominating, Ethereum’s price risks another downturn, potentially falling to $2,150. However, this outlook could change if there’s a surge in ETH withdrawals from exchanges, which may invalidate the bearish forecast.

If withdrawals increase, Ethereum’s price could rise to $2,680. In the long term, if ETH holds above $1,911 and buying pressure strengthens, the altcoin could rally toward $4,587.