Global Rate Cuts Fuel One of Bitcoin’s Best Septembers on Record

09/27/2024 12:19
Global Rate Cuts Fuel One of Bitcoin’s Best Septembers on Record

(Bloomberg) -- Bitcoin is on course for one of its biggest September gains ever, courtesy of a global wave of interest-rate cuts headlined by an aggressive pivot to looser monetary policy in the US.Most Read from BloombergVanderbilt Leases Struggling NYC Seminary for Campus ExpansionNJ Transit, Amtrak Trains Delayed After Derailment Near NYCWhere Cargo Bikes Are Freeing Cities From Polluting VansExclusive Palo Alto Girls School Borrows $106 MillionWaiting for the Miracle of Church-to-Housing Dev

(Bloomberg) -- Bitcoin is on course for one of its biggest September gains ever, courtesy of a global wave of interest-rate cuts headlined by an aggressive pivot to looser monetary policy in the US.

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The largest digital asset is up over 10% this month, contrasting with an average 5.9% decline in September during the past decade, data compiled by Bloomberg show. An index of smaller tokens has climbed more than 20%, a sign of looser financial conditions enlivening riskier segments of the crypto market.

The US Federal Reserve, the European Central Bank and the People’s Bank of China all lowered borrowing costs in September to support economic growth. Investors responded to more accommodative monetary conditions by bidding up everything from stocks to gold, anticipating further stimulus ahead.

“Bitcoin’s correlation with monetary policy continues to be highest with respect to the Fed,” said Sean McNulty, director of trading at liquidity provider Arbelos Markets. “Other central banks easing certainly helps too.”

The cryptocurrency rose as much as 1.2% on Friday, changing hands at $65,385 as of 12:18 p.m. in Singapore. It’s up 56% in 2024, helped by inflows into US Bitcoin exchange traded-funds, but off the record of $73,798 hit in March.

The $65,000 level may prove “sticky” for a few hours due to the expiry of a large number of options contracts on Friday, said Caroline Mauron, co-founder of Orbit Markets, a provider of liquidity for trading in digital-asset derivatives.

A failure to break above $65,000 “decisively” could presage a weaker period for the token, according to a note from crypto exchange Kraken.

Aside from monetary policy, the digital-asset industry is awaiting the resolution of the US presidential election race. Many executives expect a lift to sentiment from clearer American crypto regulations in the months after the vote.

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