September jobs report crushes expectations as US economy adds 254,000 jobs, unemployment rate falls to 4.1%

10/04/2024 19:52
September jobs report crushes expectations as US economy adds 254,000 jobs, unemployment rate falls to 4.1%

The September jobs report comes as investors debate whether the labor market is cooling quickly enough that the Federal Reserve will opt for a larger interest rate cut in November.

The US labor market added far more jobs than projected in September while the unemployment rate unexpectedly ticked lower, reflecting a far stronger picture of the jobs market than Wall Street had expected.

Data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics released Friday showed the labor market added 254,000 payrolls in September, more additions than the 150,000 expected by economists.

Meanwhile, the unemployment rate fell to 4.1%, from 4.2% in August. September job additions came in higher than the revised 159,000 added in August.

Wage growth, an important measure for gauging inflation pressures, rose to 4% year-over-year, from a 3.9% annual gain in August. On a monthly basis, wages increased 0.4%, in line with August's reading.

The key question entering Friday's report was whether the data would reflect significant cooling in the labor market, which could prompt another large Fed interest rate cut. Robert Sockin, Citi senior global economist, told Yahoo Finance that the better-than-expected jobs report makes it less likely the Fed moves with the "urgency" it did at its September meeting when the central bank cut interest rates by half a percentage point.

"This pushes the Fed out a lot," he said, adding that it's uncertain the Fed will make a 50-basis point cut again this year.

Following the report, markets were pricing in a roughly 12% chance the Fed cuts interest rates by half a percentage point in November, down from a 53% chance seen a week ago, per the CME FedWatch Tool.

Also in Friday’s report, the labor force participation sat flat from the month prior at 62.7%. Food services and drinking places led the job gains rising 69,000 in the month. Meanwhile healthcare added 45,000 jobs and Government jobs ticked higher by 31,000.

Construction workers work on the roof of a house being built in Alhambra, California on September 23, 2024. The Federal Reserve's interest rate cut last week has given prospective home buyers lower borrowing costs as the half-percentage-point cut lowered rates from a 23-year-high where it had been for more than a year. (Photo by Frederic J. BROWN / AFP) (Photo by FREDERIC J. BROWN/AFP via Getty Images)

Construction workers work on the roof of a house being built in Alhambra, Calif., on Sept. 23, 2024. (FREDERIC J. BROWN/AFP via Getty Images) (FREDERIC J. BROWN via Getty Images)

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Josh Schafer is a reporter for Yahoo Finance. Follow him on X @_joshschafer.

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