LUNA’s golden cross: Will it trigger a sustained rally?

12/09/2024 05:00
LUNA’s golden cross: Will it trigger a sustained rally?

Luna has grabbed market attention by breaking out of its prolonged downtrend and forming a golden cross, a reliable bullish indicator.

LUNA’s golden cross: Will it trigger a sustained rally?

  • Luna’s breakout and golden cross signal potential bullish momentum, but resistance at $0.69 is crucial.
  • Market sentiment remains optimistic as Open Interest rises and bullish liquidations dominate.

Terra [LUNA] has grabbed market attention by breaking out of its prolonged downtrend and forming a golden cross, a reliable bullish indicator.

At press time, Luna traded at $0.7027, reflecting a 2.67% drop over the past day.

While this slight decline raised concerns, its technical and market metrics suggest the potential for a sustained rally if critical resistance levels are overcome.

Technical analysis: Golden cross signals potential

The golden cross, where the 50-day moving average crosses above the 200-day moving average, has reinforced Luna’s bullish narrative. This formation often signifies strong upward momentum. 

However, Luna is currently retesting the critical resistance level at $0.69, which represents a major hurdle.

A decisive break above this level could pave the way for further gains, while failure to do so might lead to price stagnation or a reversal. Therefore, this resistance level is key to Luna’s next move.

LUNA technical analysis

Source: TradingView

Luna social volume analysis: Slight dip in interest

Additionally, the social volume has dropped slightly, declining from 38 to 33 over the past day. This decrease reflects a minor cooling in online discussions and trader enthusiasm. 

However, strong price action or positive developments could quickly reignite interest. For now, the slight dip indicates that Luna needs sustained momentum to re-engage its community.

LUNA volume dominance

Source: Santiment

Open Interest: Traders prepare for volatility

Open Interest in Futures has increased by 1.07%, rising to $18.94 million. This uptick suggests growing participation from traders, signaling heightened anticipation for price volatility. 

Increasing Open Interest often precedes significant market moves, highlighting that traders are actively positioning themselves in response to Luna’s recent breakout.

Source: Coinglass

Total liquidations: Bulls hold the upper hand

Liquidation data further illustrates the market’s sentiment. Shorts worth $1.25K were liquidated, compared to $54.65K in longs over the last 24 hours.

This imbalance indicates that bullish traders dominate the market, despite the slight dip in price. Therefore, the liquidation trend supports optimism for further upward movement.

Source: Coinglass


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Conclusion: Is Luna set for a sustained rally?

Luna is positioned for a potential rally, but its ability to sustain this momentum depends on breaking and holding above the $0.69 resistance level.

However, slight dips in social volume and price suggest caution is necessary. The next few days will determine whether it solidifies its breakout or faces renewed challenges.

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