The AI Frenzy, Fed Meets, Hunter Biden: Your Sunday US Briefing
12/11/2023 00:06
Get ready for the new week.
Hello. While the US drifts into the holiday season, here’s what you need to get ready for the week.
The big buzz: It’s been the year artificial intelligence really hit its stride, when technologies that computer scientists have worked on for decades came to dominate Wall Street. And after an almost 20% gain this year, the S&P 500 increasingly depends on whether a small group of tech companies can convert AI investments into even higher profits. While investors obsessed with AI’s potential to disrupt the economy have stoked stocks like Nvidia and Microsoft, pressure is growing for tech’s “Magnificent Seven” to justify the expectations.
The big name: Sam Altman
, whose ouster and restoration as OpenAI’s chief executive officer highlighted tension over AI’s uses, is speaking at the HOPE Global Forum in Atlanta on Monday. The topic: “The Future of AI.” On the regulatory front, the European Union is forging ahead with rules on how the advanced ChatGPT model can operate, while Microsoft’s $13 billion investment in OpenAI draws scrutiny in the UK.
The big earnings: Adobe and Oracle are expected to report healthy quarterly profits thanks to persistent corporate demand for AI-driven tools. Adobe may also
give an updateon its Firefly generative AI product. Look for more subdued earnings growth at Costco and Darden Restaurants, which operates Olive Garden, as US households contend with shrinking post-pandemic wealth. Oh, and if you’ve noticed less largesse on free shipping when you order online, you’re not alone: those days are over, writes Leticia Miranda.
The big question: How will central banks frame their 2024 outlook? Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell gets his say on Wednesday after the Fed’s last rate decision of the year, followed by the European Central Bank on Thursday. The key question is less whether the Fed will dial back borrowing costs next year but why— because of a recession, or because it sees inflation as under control. The US consumer price index for November will give the Fed a final inflation data point on Tuesday. Economists expect the US central bank to hold its benchmark rate target steady at 5.25% to 5.5%.